
Palm has yet to launch its new smartphone, the Palm Pre, but already many are are expecting it to be a hit. But just how big could the Pre get?
Palm could sell 1.5 million Palm Pre phones in the first twelve months of its launch, says Jim Suva, an analyst with Citigroup in a research note. And that’s based on potential sales just in the U.S. on a single carrier, Sprint which will be offering the device initially.
If Palm hits those numbers, it will be a big milestone for the company and could help revive Palm’s fortunes. Palm has seen its market share eaten away by rivals including Apple, BlackBerry maker Research In Motion and even the recently launched HTC G1 phone.
The Pre’s success should help make Palm a serious contendor in the smartphone business again.
Pre’s estimated numbers while significant will still not be a patch on Apple’s 3G iPhone or the Android based HTC G1 phone–two devices it is most likely to be compared to. The 3G iPhone sold a million units in just three days after its launch last year, while the G1 phone from T-Mobile sold more than a million units within three months of its debut on Oct. 22.
The $99 Centro phone from Palm sold two million units in its first nine months, says Suva. The Palm Pre will be a priced higher–potentially in the $199 to $249 range with a contract, he estimates.
Palm hasn’t committed to a launch date for the Pre other than to say it will be out in the first half of the year.
See Also:
Palm Unveils Its Long-Awaited Smartphone, the Pre
Six Reasons Why The Palm Pre Is Special
Video: Hands-On With the Palm Pre
New WebOS Is Palm’s Secret Sauce
Up Close and Personal With the Palm Pre





