Artist, John MacConnell, Discusses Painting Male Nudes (NSFW)

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Portrait by Daniel Jack Lyons

I became aware of John MacConnell’s Instagram account this summer and was quickly hooked (flip through the slideshow attached to this post and you’ll understand why). I was finally able to meet with MacConnell recently and we discussed how he finds his volunteers and the importance of community to his work.

Phillip M. Miner (PM): I became aware of you through a t-shirt a friend was wearing.

John MacConnell (JM): Really? That’s awesome. I opened my online store in 2013. I was just selling paintings and drawings. I became aware of these t-shirt and pillow printing services and for fun I mocked some up and posted them on Instagram. I got so much positive feedback I was like, well, I guess I have to do this.

I never intended for them to be such a great marketing tool, but they were. A lot of people blogged about them and they ended up in some magazines. It’s great that people find my art through these crazy t-shirts, but buy my art instead.

PM: You draw and paint so many gorgeous men. How do you find your models?

JM: Most of them find me through Instagram, which is great. I have the sexiest followers in the world [laughs]. Instagram really is a community. My followers seem to be as interested in me as a person as the art I’m producing. I think that’s why I get so many volunteers. There’s a relationship there.

I’m lucky. I have photographer friends who have to reach out for new models, but people reach out to me. I’m kind of shy, so I have no idea how I’d approach guys to take their clothes off for me.

PM: So you’re work is shaped by the volunteers you get.

JM: Absolutely. Believe it or not, I’ve never gotten a female volunteer. But, at this point, my work, these classic male nudes, are the work I want to be doing.

I want to stay true to my roots and work with my fan base, so I’m going to stick to this body type before I throw everyone a curveball.

PM: True to your roots?

JM: [Laughs] Growing up, I was this nerdy kid who loved comic books and loved drawing super heroes. That’s how I got into art.

PM: [Laughs] So your work really hasn’t changed.

JM: Not at all!

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Portrait by Daniel Jack Lyons

PM: Tell me more about these volunteers.

JM: It’s great working with people that are fans of my work. Everyone is always really excited to pose and see how they’re translated into my style. Their positive energy is great to be around. I have a few different types of people who volunteer, though. Some are big fans or art lovers and are excited by the prospect of becoming art, some guys are exhibitionists and love showing off, and some of them just want to sleep with me [Laughs].

PM: Your work never shows men erect. If guys are coming over thinking they’re going to get laid…well, what do you do about their boners?

JM: It does happen, sometimes by accident and sometimes on purpose. I don’t want to be making erotic art. Nothing against it, it’s just not what I want to be making. I give myself 21 minutes for a watercolor. So, if they are excited at the beginning of the pose, they probably aren’t by the end. I wait them out [Laughs]. It’s intimate. I work from home. I make people lay on my bed–that’s where most, um, problems arise. I’ve become especially good at changing the subject to something not sexy.

PM: For the readers at home, we’re sitting in the room where John draws his models and it really is an intimate space.

JM: It is! I used to borrow a great studio space to work, but it’s no longer available. I had to get rid of my desk because with it in my room the models had to stand on my bed. Then I cleared a space on my wall so they could lean against it if they wanted to, but now I’m working on these life-sized drawings and need that space, so they can’t lean anymore.

I love working from home but I’d love to have a studio. Please put that in there. John MacConnell is looking for benefactors. [Laughs]

PM: Let it be known Phillip Miner is also looking for benefactors [laughs]. It sounds like you have these great connections with your subjects. Are you part of a greater art community?

JM: Beyond my amazingly talented friends, I actually belong to a couple drawing groups. They’re great. Artists get to socialize, network and, most importantly, get inspired by other people’s work. Sometimes you learn new techniques from watching other artists. You also get informed critiques.

I’m a member of the Leslie Lohman Museum. They have a drawing group on Wednesdays. A friend of mine, Mark Beard has a private group that I attend. He’s been hosting it for 15 years with his friends. He gets beautiful models and he has a model stand and professional lighting, so it’s great. I used to go to a drawing group in Fire Island called the Pines Nude Drawing Group, but that’s when I wasn’t drawing regularly in the city. I still go here and there, but now when I go out there, I’m on vacation.

PM: I love Fire Island.

JM: This will be my fifth summer with a share. Some of my friends who are in the house have been going out there for 10 or more summers, so I quickly built network out there through them. There’re parties if you want them. We play a lot of beach volleyball–I love wearing Speedo’s, so it’s perfect [laughs].

The way I feel in Fire Island is the way I felt in my first gay club. You go in and all the sudden you realize literally EVERYONE is gay. There’s no questioning if the cute guy on the other side of the room is gay or straight. You can just flirt freely. You wonder if this is the real world. It was jarring for me. And really great.

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Portrait by Daniel Jack Lyons

Please check out MacConnell’s work in the slideshow below.

Obama Administration Reverses On Health Care Privacy Problem

WASHINGTON (AP) — Bowing to an outcry over privacy, the Obama administration reversed itself Friday, scaling back the release of consumers’ personal information from the government’s health insurance website to private companies with a commercial interest in the data.

The administration made the changes to HealthCare.gov after The Associated Press reported earlier in the week that the website was quietly sending consumers’ personal data to private companies that specialize in advertising and analyzing Internet data for performance and marketing. The personal details included age, income, ZIP code, tobacco use, and whether a woman is pregnant.

That prompted lawmakers to demand an explanation, while privacy advocates called on the administration to make changes.

Analysis of the website Friday by AP showed that the administration had made changes to reduce the outbound flow of personal information. Before that, the website was explicitly sending personal data to third-party sites.

The site is used by millions to sign up for coverage under the health care law, or to merely browse for insurance plans in their communities.

The changes were confirmed by Cooper Quintin, a staff technologist with the Electronic Frontier Foundation, a civil liberties group. Quintin called it “a great first step,” but said the administration needs to do more.

An administration spokesman did not immediately respond to a request for comment on Friday.

Officials of the Health and Human Services Department had at first defended their information-sharing practices, saying the outside companies only used the data to analyze the workings of HealthCare.gov and make improvements to the website that benefit consumers. There is no evidence that consumers’ personal information was misused, they said.

Created under President Barack Obama’s health care law, HealthCare.gov is the online gateway to government-subsidized private insurance for people who lack coverage on the job. It serves 37 states, while the remaining states operate their own insurance markets. The privacy issue surfaced just as the president was calling for stronger Internet safeguards for consumers.

Sens. Orrin Hatch, R-Utah, and Charles Grassley, R-Iowa, called it “extremely concerning” for consumers.

Third-party outfits that track website performance are a standard part of e-commerce. It’s a lucrative business, helping Google, Facebook and others tailor ads to customers’ interests. Because your computer and mobile devices can be assigned an individual signature, profiles of Internet users can be pieced together, generating lists that have commercial value.

Third-party sites embedded on HealthCare.gov can’t see your name, birth date or Social Security number. But they may be able to correlate the fact that your computer accessed the government website with your other Internet activities.

Have you been researching a chronic illness like coronary artery blockage? Do you shop online for smoking-cessation aids? Are you investigating genetic markers for a certain type of breast cancer? Are you seeking help for financial problems, or for an addiction?

Google told the AP this week it doesn’t allow its systems to target ads based on medical information.

HealthCare.gov’s privacy policy says in boldface type that no “personally identifiable information” is collected by these Web measurement tools. That is a term defined in government regulations, but other personal details were being allowed through.

Privacy advocates say the administration still needs to do more. The mere presence of connections to private companies on the website —even if they don’t explicitly receive personal data— should be examined because of their ability to reveal sensitive information about a user.

Quintin, the tech expert with the Electronic Frontier Foundation, said the health site should disable third-party tracking services for people who chose to opt out by installing add-on software on their web browsers.

“HealthCare.gov should meet good privacy standards for all its users,” he said.

The administration is aiming to have more than 9 million people signed up by Feb. 15, the last day of open enrollment. Many consumers wait until the last minute to sign up.

HealthCare.gov was crippled by serious technical problems when it made its debut in the fall of 2013. This year the website has worked much better, a marked contrast. But the privacy issues were a reminder that the site remains a work in progress, like the underlying law.

Anne Hathaway Has The Best Response To Amal Clooney Comparisons

Most celebrities are amused by their look-alikes, even though they can cause cases of mistaken identity. But Anne Hathaway’s response to the news that she bears a “resemblance to the striking Amal Clooney” is a lesson in how to take a compliment.

“I’ve never heard that! Thank you,” Hathaway told “Extra” in a recent interview, while promoting her latest film, “Song One.” “That’s like so gonna be the best thing to happen to me today.”

Hathaway continued, “I hope that I become half the woman she is. She’s so accomplished and it’s so thrilling to look at someone and be like, ‘Wow. You really are making the world a better place.'”

For those unaware, Clooney (née Alamuddin) is an accomplished human rights attorney, employed by a London-based firm. She has been representing WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange in his fight against extradition from Sweden since 2011. More recently, she was tasked with advising Greece in its fight to reclaim the Elgin Marbles, currently exhibited by the British Museum. Additionally, she has been appointed to several UN commissions and is an adviser to Special Envoy Kofi Annan.

Of some significance, she married an actor named George in Italy, in September 2014, and took his last name.

Researchers Map Out Where Attention Lives In The Brain

Difficulty focusing, for many of us, is a daily reality of modern life. How many times do you open your email and get sidetracked from a more important task at work, or find yourself starting to zone out while a friend is telling you a story about his day? Probably pretty often.

Scientists are starting to learn more about how the brain allocates its attentional resources — and how our attention gets away from us. New research from neuroscientists at McGill University has identified, for the first time, a network of neurons critical to our ability to control attention.

A complex of neurons in the lateral prefrontal cortex of the brain, an area involved in many aspects of executive behavioral control, including selective attention, strategic behavioral planning, short-term information retention and action selection. These neurons interact with one another to filter visual information while also ignoring distractions.

While previous research has identified individual neurons that carry attentional signals, there was not yet a sense of a larger neural “attentional map,” lead researcher Dr. Julio Martinez-Trujillo explained to The Huffington Post.

“What was unclear [previously] is whether the are contains a map of activity that can signal where attention is allocated, within the short time we use to orient attention (few hundred millisecond),” Martinez-Trujillo said in an email to the Huffington Post. “The contribution of this study is that we obtained a realistic estimate of the attentional map, which is composed of, not only one neuron but of many neurons that interact with one another.”

The researchers recorded the brain activity of macaque monkeys as they shifted their gaze to look at objects displayed on a computer screen, which also ignoring visual distractions. Then, the recorded brain signals were input on a computer decoder which mimicked the computations of the brain as it focused.

To the researchers’ surprise, the computer decoder was able to consistently and accurately predict where the monkeys were covertly focusing their attention before they even looked that way — and, even before the onset of a distraction, they were able to predict whether the monkey would be distracted by a visual stimulus.

What’s more, the researchers were able to create focused and distracted states by manipulating neural interactions.

One hypothesis derived from these findings is that there must be a particular amount of interaction between neurons in the prefrontal cortex in order for attention to be properly directed. In children with ADHD, for instance, these interactions may be excessive, causing disruptions in their ability to focus attention.

“It is essential for us is to corroborate this hypothesis in the near future,” said Martinez-Trujillo. “One can imagine that drugs or other interventions that could manipulate interactions between neurons within the prefrontal map could be used to treat disorders of attention (focusing too little or too much).”

The findings may have important implications for those suffering from autism, ADHD and schizophrenia, which all involve disruptions in one’s ability to focus.

“This suggests that we are tapping into the mechanisms responsible for the quality of the attentional focus, and might shed light into the reasons why this process fails in certain neurological diseases such as ADHD, autism and schizophrenia,” Sébastien Tremblay, a doctoral student at McGill and one of the study’s authors, said in a statement. “Being able to extract and read the neuronal code from higher-level areas of the brain could also lead to important breakthroughs in the emerging field of neural prosthetics, where people who are paralysed use their thoughts to control objects in their environment.”

The findings were recently published in the journal Neuron.

What Happened When My Down Dog Was Barking

The Seane Corn “Detox Flow” Yoga DVD has sat new and unopened in my living room for quite a while. I’m well aware of the benefits of yoga and even enjoy it, yet even when it sits packaged in my living room I struggle to actually do it. I continually intend to do more yoga, but that’s the thing about our intentions, they can only take us so far. At some point, some action is required.

On a random Thursday, after a particularly long and busy week of work I was too tired to go to the gym at the end of the day so I headed home. I thought that I might eventually get to the gym that night and changed into my workout clothes. I went downstairs and watched some TV after taking my dogs for a walk. Before long, I was laying on the couch, two shows in and the Seane Corn “Detox Flow” Yoga DVD popped into view. I opened it.

I grabbed the computer and put it in. I was feeling excited and proud of myself for taking the first steps in adding more yoga into my life. Before the DVD was even finished with its preliminary advertising, my dogs started barking. “Quiet!” I said, just a little too loud.

The DVD finally started and I maneuvered myself into the first pose. My dog Willow began licking my face. Dublin, my other pup, started jumping around my moving body surely wondering when I will stop so that he can lay on my lap. I persevered.

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By the second down dog, Willow had brought me a stick and Dublin was sitting next to me, impatiently. I threw the stick and moved into the next pose. Suddenly, the dogs were quiet and unmoving. Ah, the power of yoga. I get through the next 10 minutes and right when Seane Corn is talking about finding balance in life, Willow starts barking again. “Quiet,” I said, this time quietly.

Finally, Willow, Dublin and I have all reached the end of the DVD. Both dogs lay next to me as I lay in the final pose. I feel more relaxed, I have more energy, and I am earnestly expressing my gratitude (at Seane Corn’s request).

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I started to think about what we say in the therapy world about meeting clients where they are at. I think that is important for us to do for ourselves too. On that random Thursday I met myself where I was at. I didn’t go to the gym or make it to a yoga class where undoubtedly there would have been no dogs barking. I didn’t make it upstairs and go to a room where I could shut the door and hopefully Seane Corn’s voice would have drowned out the potential whining of my dogs to get in. I didn’t quit when it felt a bit ridiculous to be doing yoga with dog noises everywhere (who by the way, as I write this, are completely quiet, curled up and sound asleep).

Of course there are much greater predicaments in our world than this, of those I am well aware. In fact, my awareness of the pain and suffering in the world may be the exact reason I need more yoga in my own life. For if I don’t try my very best to take the very best care of myself, how in the world can I even attempt to fully and whole heartedly support others in their quest to be better in their own lives? How could I possibly support our youth in finding their voices if I don’t listen to my own? Who would I be if I took my journey of wellness and spat all over it and then spouted the importance of belonging and connection as part of my work?

Not sure of the answers to all of those questions. But what I do know is that any time I get the chance to do yoga with my dogs, I’m taking it. And just maybe, part of the answer is that my choices are what gives me the chance to create those opportunities for wellness. And maybe on that day it was my dogs that reminded me to pay close attention to how truly committed I am to moving into down dog, even when there is one barking.

Patrick Stewart Must Be Sad He Never Shared An 'X-Men' Scene With Jennifer Lawrence

Patrick Stewart starred with Jennifer Lawrence in “X-Men: Days of Future Past,” but merely appearing in the credits with Lawrence isn’t enough for the actor. In an EW Facebook chat promoting his new movie “Match,” Stewart said that the actress would be his ideal co-star.

I’d like to collaborate with Jennifer Lawrence,” he said. “I think she’s brilliant, with a great sense of humor, and quite good looking.”

He also endorsed a Patrick Stewart-Ian McKellen buddy comedy. “It’s a brilliant idea,” he wrote. “Will you write the script for us please? Which of course will have to have approval.”

Attention Hollywood: Let’s get both of these projects in the works, please and thank you.

Who Cares for the Caregiver?

Mark Lukach’s article “My Lovely Wife in the Psych Ward” has been making the rounds on social media for the past few weeks. It is an honest and painful read. As the title implies, Lukach writes about his experiences with his wife’s psychiatric problems. Her diagnosis: depression with psychotic features. Reading it, I was struck by the depths of his love and devotion to his wife. And I was also concerned for him and for all caregivers of the chronically ill.

Yes, psychiatric problems can be difficult for the mental health consumer, but the consumer does not experience their symptoms in a vacuum. Their loved ones, family (spouses, children, extended family) and friends, are also impacted. As a bipolar sufferer, I try to be cognizant of how my illness impacts my loved ones. I’ve also tried to think about what I would tell other consumers’ loved ones as well as my own about self-care.

So this article is for you, the caregiver.

Here are some tips to ensure that you effectively care for yourself while providing for your loved one:

  • Don’t neglect your own needs: Get adequate sleep, eat regularly, and keep up with your own health needs (such as doctor’s appointments, taking any prescribed medicine, exercise, etc).
  • Invest in self-care. In other articles I’ve written about the importance of self-care for the consumer, but caregivers also need to make self-care a priority. Self-care is whatever you do that puts you first and soothes you: listen to music, make a spa appointment, go for a walk, meditate, read a book, eat your favorite meal, take a vacation. In short, do something you love.
  • Seek out support groups. There are lots of support group organizations. There’s Depression and Bipolar Support (DBSA) or National Alliance on Mental Illness Family Support Group (NAMI). And because a large percentage of mental health consumers also deal with alcohol or substance abuse, you can also check out Nar-Anon or Al-Anon. A simple Google search will yield even more support group organizations.
  • Find your own therapist. I don’t mean couple’s therapy or family therapy. But a therapist all your own. Everyone can benefit from having an ear to vent to and problem solve with.
  • Spend time away from your loved one. Yes, you are entitled to take a break.
  • Learn your loved one’s signals. He or she might not always know when an episode is looming, but if you’ve lived through a previous episode or hospitalization, you probably know what to look out for.
  • Be patient, understanding, and kind with your loved one. Everyone needs extra nurturing when not at their best.
  • Be patient, understanding, and kind with yourself. You won’t have all the answers. You won’t always know what to say or do. You might get frustrated or overwhelmed. Don’t beat yourself up.
  • Know your limits and enlist help when you need it. Help from family, friends, mental health doctors and providers. You don’t have to think of yourself as a fixer.

In addition to everything above, the following are specific to romantic partners:

  • Depending on your loved one’s diagnosis, he or she might have mood swings or easily get angry or irritable. Try not to take it personally. With your partner, create coping strategies to handle emotional outbursts.
  • Again, depending on the diagnosis or even as a side effect from certain medicines, your loved one’s libido can be impacted. Both extremes are possible: too much of a sex drive (hypersexual) or too low of a sex drive. Be patient. If a low sex drive is a problem, find non-sexual ways to be intimate.
  • Be sure to keep the lines of communication open and honest. Listen to your loved one’s concerns about his or her care, but also make your concerns known too.

If your loved one hasn’t told you lately: You are important, you are valued, you are making a difference. Being a caregiver is a tough role. So don’t neglect your own needs and your own life in the process of providing love and care to others. I love the airplane analogy about responsibility and help: In emergencies, you are exhorted to put your oxygen mask on first before assisting those around you. Be sure to take care of you.

Randomized Controlled Trials: Powerful, But Only When Used Right

There has been a recent surge in the use of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in the social sciences. With topics ranging from financial education and tax repayment to organ donation, studies where individuals are (often unknowingly) randomly allocated to different intervention conditions – and then compared to each other – have become increasingly popular. Many researchers, myself included, have heralded this movement as a much-needed development in social science research, as RCTs have the power to generate new insights, especially on the application side of the social sciences. However, the design of RCTs often prevents important questions from being answered while seeming to suggest that they are bringing us closer to the truth. Here, I want to highlight three elements of RCTs that often go unnoticed and that can be useful to consider when evaluating these types of studies (sparked by this recent NYT article): a need for more sophisticated control groups, more careful consideration of other affected behaviors, and better conceptualization of long-term effects.

Although RCTs first appeared in psychology, they were popularized by medicinal research and are today conceived as the “gold standard” for a clinical trial. Conceptually, an RCT is a study where people are randomly allocated to one or more intervention conditions. Thus, it is possible to compare the effectiveness of different interventions while minimizing both known and unknown factors that may influence the possible outcome under investigation. Recently, there has been a return to the use of RCTs in the social sciences. Much of this has been inspired by the rising influence of behavioral approaches to understanding societal issues. Books such as Poor Economics, Nudge, and The Why Axis demonstrate the tremendous potential of cheap and simple interventions to bring about scalable positive changes, often tested via RCTs. Governments around the world are also increasingly relying on the power of RCTs to make policy-relevant decisions. In fact, a former administrator of the White House Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs, Cass Sunstein, made pioneering attempts to introduce the usage of RCTs to make policy decisions into the US government (as described in his book Simpler). To date, over 240 RCTs have been conducted in education research alone, often with great success. For example, randomly assigning some high school students to receive automatic, personalized text messages that reminded them about their college application deadlines increased college enrollment to 70%, compared to 63% in a similar group of students randomly assigned to not receive the messages. This gain is similar to that provided by scholarships, but at only a fraction of the price. In another study, sending parents of middle and high school students personalized text messages when their children did not hand in homework assignments increased homework completion by 25% relative to the homework completion of children whose parents did not receive such messages and made parents twice as likely to reach out to their children’s teachers. In light of such dramatic increases in important behaviors at such low costs, most – if not all – commentators view these types of studies as necessary and are calling to increase these studies’ use. I am fully with them, but we need a better understanding of what RCTs can and cannot do. We also need to be careful to design RCTs appropriately to fully answer the problem at hand. Let me focus on the latter point here: Do RCTs live up to the great expectations placed on them? And if not, as I will argue, how can we design them to be more powerful?

One of the key elements of an RCT is the comparison between an intervention group and a control group. That is, when researchers hypothesize that one group is going to benefit from a given intervention, they compare the behavior of that intervention group to that of a group that did not receive the intervention. Although this rationale carries intuitive appeal, it overlooks the fact that a difference from the no-intervention group does not necessarily suggest that the intervention was successful. Take the case of medicinal research, where the intervention group is often instead compared to a placebo (a sugar pill) because extensive research shows that merely giving a patient a pill carries positive intervention effects. In fact, much medicinal research goes a step further, additionally comparing an intervention condition to the best currently known intervention. If an intervention remains better than these two control conditions, then one can be much more confident in claiming that it truly is effective. A no-intervention condition is therefore not a good control condition on its own. In particular, to be more certain about the validity of an approach, the intervention condition should be compared to three adequate control conditions, consisting of a no-intervention group, a placebo group, and a best-currently-available-intervention group.

When designing RCTs, researchers are often careful to make sure that they adequately measure the downstream behavior they aim to influence. For example, when designing a study to increase college enrollment, measure college enrollment; when designing a study to increase homework completion, measure homework completion. This idea mirrors the design of clinical trials, where the patients’ outcome is evaluated using the same clinically relevant parameters that the chemical compound is hypothesized to affect. Unfortunately, social science research works differently: it requires a better understanding of the underlying psychology at play. As the previous examples highlight, social science RCTs often take the form of reminders that bring the focal element of interest to the front of one’s mind. Researchers’ (often implicit) theory is that by making individuals pay more attention to something, they will in turn be more likely to consider it as important and act upon it. Attention, however, is limited, which implies that bringing something to the front of one’s mind necessarily means devoting less attention to other thoughts, thus potentially reducing other behaviors. Sometimes, this can be good, including when reminders bring college enrollment deadlines to the front of a student’s mind at the cost of less important thoughts, such as “What am I going to wear to senior prom?” At other times, however, a reminder may prompt the devotion of less thought to other important elements, such as when high school students focus on completing their homework at the cost of thinking about college enrollment. Consequently, we need to think more about what other behaviors may be affected by an intervention and then determine the appropriate design to best measure the effects. Otherwise, by looking at just one isolated behavior, we may be missing the bigger picture. A good RCT therefore must demonstrate an increase in the effectiveness of the focal behavior, with no reduction in the frequency of other important behaviors.

RCTs need to have a defined study period in order to be designed and appropriately run. The duration of RCTs varies frequently, with some trials lasting just a few weeks or months, whereas others take years. Researchers track the development of the behavior of interest over time to be able to make claims about the long-term effectiveness of the intervention they introduced. This is important, as an intervention is only really effective if its effects do not fade away over time. Unfortunately, many RCTs are often too short to make adequate claims about the long term, mostly due to cost concerns. Imagine receiving a text every time your child’s homework assignment is late; in the beginning, you may perceive the texts as a helpful notice, and they may prompt you to change your interaction with your child. But will those text messages continue to prompt conversations one year down the line? At what point will you ignore them? It is difficult to answer these questions with an RCT that does not last long enough, and even so, how long is long enough? Six months may be an adequate timeframe to evaluate the long-term effectiveness of receiving messaging about your children’s late homework, but there seems to be a decrease in intervention effectiveness over time (see Figures 5-8, pp. 42-43). An even more important point is whether the effectiveness holds when the intervention is no longer administered. Does sending text messages change habits over the long term, such that parents will more frequently engage with their children? These questions could be answered by tracking former study participants over the long term – yet this is rarely done. Following the example of clinical trials, where it is common practice to check for long-term side effects, is warranted here. Whereas cost concerns explain why RCTs are often too short, it is not that expensive to track participants over time, after the intervention has finished, especially in light of the possible benefits such a design could provide.

RCTs are important. They are an outstanding tool that researchers have to obtain better insights. However, RCTs need to be designed better: we need more intervention arms, better control groups, better definition and measurement of other possibly affected behaviors, and longitudinal designs including follow-ups to evaluate long-term effectiveness. This is not optional; rather, it is mandatory when RCTs are being used to make policy-relevant decisions, as they increasingly are. Some organizations, such as ideas42, the Behavioral Insights Team and J-PAL are showing that this type of design is possible. Although it may take more effort to design RCTs and more money to run them, it is essential for RCTs to be designed better in order to live up to their claims as a powerful methodology against many societal ills.

For more information, please contact the author at www.jonmjachimowicz.com

2015: A Year of Action for Global Risks?

Geo-economic conflict is the number one risk facing the world right now, according to the Global Risks 2015 report.

Experts believe we face a greater threat of terrorist attacks and state crises, while water shortages and extreme weather can create more havoc and be more frequent due to intensifying climate change.

The good news is that the capacity of the human race for avoiding risks, mitigating them and strengthening resilience is now higher than ever in human history. And 2015 in particular presents a number of opportunities to address global risks. There are reasons for optimism that this year may bring significant action.

Take climate change, for instance, a trend that drives a number of risks such as water shortages or weather-related natural disasters. After many failed efforts to come to an international agreement on carbon reductions, some developments in the course of last year provide a glimmer of hope as they could provide overarching support ahead of the COP15 meeting in Paris.

For example, at the UN Climate Summit in September 2014, leading businesses and many governments expressed their support for global climate pricing and committed to an end of forest loss by 2030. The mayors of over 2000 cities pledged towards major carbon cuts in cities. Later in the year, United States and China as well as the EU committed to a significant cut in carbon emissions and the preparatory summit in Lima saw developing countries accept the need to cap emission, a major stepping-stone towards an agreement. All these developments give us real hope that Paris talks in November/December will see real progress in climate change.

If you take the threat of conflict between states, the key global risk identified this year, there may also be reason to believe that some ongoing conflicts may de-escalate in the near future. After Japanese FDI in China dropped by 40% in early 2014, later that year the two countries started a process of rapprochement that could de-escalate the situation in the South-China Sea.

What else does the Global Risks Report tell us about other risks and trends that should we be watching for the future? One potentially explosive finding is that societies appear to be increasingly under pressure from growing interdependence and the accelerating pace of change. As the reality is increasingly complex and economic pressures such as unemployment and income inequality rise, people identify themselves more strongly with familiar religious, cultural, or national values.

Then, we should not let economic risks slip of the radar. Although experts see them as relatively less important this year than other risks, this is due to the fact that environmental and geopolitical risks are taking centre stage. This could mean that less attention will be paid to economic risks, although much still needs to be done to ensure that the global economy grows in a sustainable manner.

Somewhat less surprisingly, the potential cost of cyber-attacks and data fraud and theft to companies or even industries, should incentivize action to better protect the cyber space.

The Global Risks Report is not meant to be the world’s crystal ball, but to give leaders a heads up on what’s coming down the tracks, help them make sense of an increasingly complex reality and give them reasons to act.

This post is part of a series produced by The Huffington Post and The World Economic Forum to mark the Forum’s Annual Meeting 2015 (in Davos-Klosters, Switzerland, Jan. 21-24). Read all the posts in the series here.

Eric McDavid Deserves Answers From Federal Officials Who Kept Information From Him at Trial

2015-01-23-EricMcDavidRelase1.jpg(Eric McDavid leaves federal court in Sacramento, CA on January 8, 2015, free for the first time in nine years, followed by his attorneys Ben Rosenfeld (left) and Mark Vermeulen. Photo courtesy of David Martinez.)

On January 8, 2015, a federal judge in Sacramento, California granted a joint request by the United States and defense attorneys to release my client Eric McDavid from prison with an eleven year reduction of a 20-year sentence because prosecutors withheld key documents from him at trial. (“‘Eco-Terrorist’ Eric McDavid Gets Released Early From Prison,” Huffington Post, January 9, 2015.) Rather than explain what happened, though, federal officials are trying to skate away with the hollow press statement that “a mistake was made.” They contend they promptly turned over the missing documents upon discovering them, and that they were not important to the defense anyway. Both claims are patently untrue.

McDavid has always asserted that he and his two co-defendants were entrapped by an overzealous FBI and its then 19-year old informant, “Anna.” Anna literally herded the group together, plying them with free transportation, food, and lodging. When they distanced themselves, she delivered them to one another’s doorsteps. When they failed to muster enthusiasm for her schemes, she threw fits, mocked them, and bought them more stuff, including the household chemicals they mixed together to follow her fake incendiary recipe at a cabin wired by the FBI for sound and video. It didn’t work, and the group never agreed to do anything, so there was never any specific conspiracy, save for Anna’s and the FBI’s plot to frame the trio and strut about it. They were all just trying to placate Anna, and McDavid most of all, because he was in love with her.

Contrary to the government’s public relations spin, the documents it withheld were central to Mr. McDavid’s entrapment defense. Clearly, the government recognizes their importance too or it would not have negotiated McDavid’s release. They include love letters to Anna, and evidence she pretended to reciprocate his feelings to keep him on the hook, writing to him, for example, “I think you and I could be great, but we have LOTS of little kinks to work out,” and, “I hope in Indiana we can spend more quality time together, and really chat about life and our things.”

The government’s repeated insistence that it simply overlooked this correspondence strains credulity. Correspondence between an informant and a target is rudimentary evidence in a criminal case. Mr. McDavid’s trial attorney Mark Reichel made it a centerpiece of his cross-examination of the informant, getting her to admit only grudgingly that McDavid had sent her romantic epistles, which she downplayed as containing only a “slight indication that he might have been interested in me.” In point of fact, he opened his heart to her, declaring, for example, “all the endorphins shoot off in my head when ever I think of u.” Prosecutors did nothing to correct the informant’s misleading testimony.

Wittingly or unwittingly, prosecutors pressed their unfair advantage by repeatedly denying there was ever any evidence of romance. In seeking to bar Mr. McDavid’s entrapment defense outright, Assistant U.S. Attorney Ellen Endrizzi told the Judge in 2007: “[T]he defendant has throughout his papers said there was a romantic relationship [but] he has provided no facts of that.” In closing, she told jurors: “There are supposedly love letters. We’ve got evidence of one. Supposedly Mr. McDavid is falling all over himself for Anna. But you have testimony that Anna rebuffed him.”

This falsehood was not a technical foul but a grossly prejudicial error which infected the entire trial and produced a wrongful conviction.

Prosecutors kept up the charade well after Mr. McDavid filed his habeas petition. In October 2012, former Assistant U.S. Attorney Stephen Lapham, now a Sacramento Superior Court judge, stated in papers submitted to the Court: “Although McDavid insinuated throughout the trial that there was a romantic relationship between himself and Anna, the evidence was to the contrary.” In the meantime, Mr. McDavid sat in prison for two more years.

The government also withheld evidence that the FBI ordered, then mysteriously canceled, a polygraph examination of Anna the informant, suggesting both that the FBI had doubts about her credibility and that it wanted to bury those doubts at a critical junction in the case, just before Anna roped all of the co-defendants together from around the country for a meeting at Mr. McDavid’s house. It was at that meeting, the government alleged, that the group agreed to do something.

Like the missing correspondence, the polygraph order remained concealed throughout trial. It surfaced only in response to a Freedom of Information Act request which McDavid’s supporters submitted 2-3 years after his conviction. In response, the government produced roughly 2,500 heavily reacted pages while holding back nearly 900 others on various grounds. Among the items redacted in the polygraph order is the mere name of the Assistant U.S. Attorney who signed off on it, concealed for alleged privacy reasons.

Far from turning over the withheld information promptly upon discovering it, as officials claim, the government still has not produced the nearly 900 pages it held back from the FOIA production. Among these, the defense believes, are other emails from Anna the informant to Mr. McDavid, as well as any information underlying the polygraph request, including who ordered it, who cancelled it, and why. Anna’s credibility was everything at trial. She made numerous inflammatory allegations against Mr. McDavid which were uncorroborated by any recordings in the heavily wired case or any other witness. Sandbagged, there was little Mr. McDavid’s trial attorney could do to impeach her. Prosecutors pressed this advantage too, telling the jury in closing: “Your mission is to decide if Anna is telling the truth. … [t]he question, the reason you are here in the first place is to decide whether or not she’s telling the truth.”

The government has also downplayed a declaration by Mr. McDavid’s co-defendant, Zachary Jenson, who cooperated with the prosecution in exchange for leniency. In a letter to the Sacramento Bee, U.S. Attorney for the Eastern District of California Benjamin B. Wagner parrots what the government wrote in its filed response, that Mr. Jenson’s declaration does not contradict anything he testified to at trial. On the contrary, Mr. Jenson’s declaration details how prosecutors pressured him to shade the truth on the stand and squelch what he wanted to say, namely that Anna entrapped Mr. McDavid. (See discussion in Mr. McDavid’s filed habeas reply.)

The U.S. Attorney is correct about one thing: As a condition for being released from prison, Mr. McDavid pleaded guilty to a new felony charge of general conspiracy which carries a maximum penalty of five years in prison, half the time he had already served. But if McDavid was entrapped, as the evidence overwhelmingly shows, he is in a real sense innocent. Before the FBI fastened Anna the informant onto him and pursued him relentlessly with dirty tricks, he had no predisposition whatsoever to commit the charged offense. Whatever conspiracy he may have joined was a pure artifice of the FBI’s and Anna’s from the start.

The U.S. Attorneys who negotiated Mr. McDavid’s release are not responsible for his entrapment or unfair prosecution. They inherited the case after the fact and acted honorably by helping to correct a grievous injustice. But they need to stop vouching for their predecessors and start conducting an inquiry. Ninth Circuit Chief Judge Alex Kozinski recently warned of “an epidemic of Brady [evidence withholding] violations abroad in the land.” Unless and until prosecutors explain their so-called mistake, the public should doubt that’s all it was.

2015-01-23-EricMcDavidRelease2.jpg(Eric McDavid embraces his partner Jenny Esquivel following his release as his father George McDavid looks on. Photo courtesy of David Martinez.)