Will Third Parties Debate with Clinton and Trump?

If Jill Stein (Green) and Gary Johnson (Libertarian) can make it into the debates, 2016 may be the defining historical moment for the third parties.

Bernie supporters who fall into the category of #NeverHillaryNeverTrump welcome a third party into the national debate. A great deal of the Vermont Senator’s policies echo in Jill Stein’s platform, whereas Johnson attracts Republicans who have no interest in Trump but supported Sanders.

The Commission on Presidential Debates (CPD), a private organization, controls every aspect of the debates, from who the participants will be, to what will be discussed.

To qualify for the CPD debates, a participant must gain ballot access in enough states to achieve the 270 electoral votes necessary to win and demonstrate “a level of support of at least 15 percent of the national electorate, as determined by five selected national public opinion polling organizations, using the average of those organizations’ most recent publicly-reported results.”

Both Green and Libertarian parties have reached the first hurdle of having enough ballot access to obtain 270 electoral votes.

But the five public opinion polling organizations are chosen by the CPD, and polls don’t ask participants the same questions for all parties. In the latest CNN poll conducted just after the DNC convention, they asked 1,003 people for their opinion of the two major party candidates and their running mates, but didn’t ask for their opinion of the third party candidates.

“We’d like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people — or if you have never heard of them.” -CNN poll (only asked about Clinton, Kaine, Trump, and Pence)

The greatest barrier to knowledge of third party candidates is the mainstream media’s lack of coverage. (What happened first: the media’s coverage of Donald Trump or Trump’s popularity?)

Trump said of third party participation in the debates, “I’d rather have head to head and right now, they’re not getting any numbers. She’s (Jill Stein) doing better than he (Gary Johnson) is, but right now in some polls she’s actually not doing badly.”

“Polls show that a majority of voters want to see additional candidates in the debates,” said John Andrews, Senior Advisor to Jill Stein. “The CPD is not running the debates to help voters understand their choices – they are running them to eliminate competition. It’s time that we had inclusive debates.”

The CPD could shut out third party candidates by choosing which polls they use for their criteria. The CPD says they “will identify the selected polling organizations well in advance of the time the criteria are applied.”

One way to bring the third parties to October/November debates is to put pressure on the Commission on Presidential Debates. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson founded a group called Our America Initiative in 2009 to demand the CPD allow participation by any presidential candidate with enough ballot access to win the election. By this standard, only two other candidates qualify: Jill Stein and Gary Johnson. Our America Initiative is collecting signatures on this petition which they could use to show the networks how many people want to watch such a debate.

The Green Party offers their own petition called Open The Debates, utilizing a hashtag #OpentheDebates to make the case that America is ready for a fair debate among the parties.

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How the Election Might Be Rigged

Donald Trump now suggests that he will be defeated in a rigged election, but with prominent businessmen, independents, and Republicans, including Michael Bloomberg, Mark Cuban, Henry Paulson, Brent Scowcroft, and Richard Armitage declaring their support for Hillary Clinton, and with almost daily gaffes by Trump, one might think that the Republican ticket has almost zero chance of success even in a fair election. Nevertheless, at the time of this writing, even Nate Silver at the time of this writing rates Trump’s chances of victory to be greater than 30%.

So, following the demise of the Never Trump movement at the RNC, I looked again for any evidence of hope for Never-Trump-but-not-Clinton Republicans, which led me back to an interesting article by Derek Muller in the March 17 edition of the Washington Post. There Muller explained how, even if Donald Trump appears to have captured 270 electoral votes on November 8, there remains a constitutional and apparently plausible way that one or more state legislatures could overturn this result.

Muller, associate professor at Pepperdine University School of Law, pointed out that Article II, Section 1 of the Constitution provides that

Each state shall appoint, in such manner as the Legislature thereof may direct, a number of electors….

Thus, he explained that on November 8, the Texas legislature, for example, could decide whether to change the law in order to reclaim its constitutional right to choose its electors, thus allowing itself to choose electors who would vote for a Republican candidate it prefers to Trump.
How might this work? With no regional third party candidate able to carry the popular vote of one or more states, as Strom Thurmond did in 1948 and George Wallace did in 1968, the 538 electoral votes will be expected to be divided between only Trump and Clinton. If Clinton captures 270 electoral votes on election day, this whole argument is moot. Even if she fails, Trump would still be extremely unlikely to win a majority if he is somehow deprived of the 38 electoral votes of red state Texas, which Clinton certainly will not win either.

According to the Twelfth Amendment,

if no person have such majority [of electoral votes], then from the persons having the highest numbers not exceeding three on the list of those voted for as President, the House of Representatives shall choose immediately, by ballot, the President.

Election nerds are reminded that the House chose John Quincy Adams over Jackson and Crawford in 1824. And Hamilton junkies might recall that Thomas Jefferson defeated Aaron Burr in the House in 1800 with the title character’s assistance, though the glitch that led to that event was subsequently corrected by the Twelfth Amendment.

In Muller’s example, Texas, or any other red state or combination of red states totaling enough electors to deprive Trump of 270, would add its legislature’s choice as the third place finisher, who would then be in the running with Trump and Clinton. The House would be entirely free to select any of the three, and would not be constitutionally obligated to consider either the popular vote or the electoral vote totals.

Under the Twelfth Amendment each state delegation in the House would have one vote. Republicans currently have the majority in 33 of the state delegations, so even if Democrats gained a majority of individual Representatives, Republicans would be overwhelmingly likely to still control more state House delegations than Democrats in January, and would thus be freely choosing from the two Republicans.

One might wonder: What legal challenge might be made to a state’s use of such a strategy? Would the Supreme Court find itself asked to fashion a solution to such a disagreement, as in the Bush v. Gore decision in 2000? Or would SCOTUS allow the House of Representatives to deal with the unfinished election in January?

Even if this unlikely sequence of events brings the presidential election into the House of Representatives, the outcome there would be uncertain. The Republican state congressional delegations might be initially divided between Trump and the second Republican candidate, and with the powerless minority of Democratic states’ delegations only watching, one can imagine negotiations and possibly multiple ballots until one Republican candidate gains support from a majority in each of the necessary 26 Congressional red states.

Jonathan Rauch in “How American Politics Went Insane” in the July/August Atlantic argues that the loss of influence of party insiders is in part to blame for the current political insanity. He also points out that the Framers of the Constitution created the Electoral College, backed up by the House of Representatives, as a check on demagogy. Others argue that our primary system encourages the nomination of extremists as a result of the need to appeal to the base. I would argue that a wholesale change via constitutional amendment to ranked choice voting with instant runoff would be ideal, since this election method leads to the selection of a candidate with majority support.

The system may not be rigged in the sense that Donald Trump is suggesting. But we should consider using the current political insanity as an opportunity to shed light on its imperfections. We need democracy now more than ever.

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An Open Letter To Congressman Keith Ellison

This morning, I received an email from Congressman Keith Ellison by way of the DCCC. It reads as follows.

Dear Fred,

I’m a Muslim. That’s why I’m asking you to take a stand. Demand Trump apologize to the Khans today.

I’m an American. I’m a Member of Congress and I am livid after seeing Donald Trump’s attack on the Gold Star Khan family.

How can he question a mother’s pain after her son is killed in combat? How can he imply her religion — not her grief — kept her from speaking to millions of Americans on national TV?

Fred, I’m asking you to unite with me and sign the petition demanding Trump apologize to the Gold Star Khan family.

This moment is too important to stay silent. Trump’s insults are not just an assault on one family. He’s attacking millions of Muslims like me and if we shrug this off as just another gaffe from Trump, folks across this country will think there is nothing wrong with this blatant discrimination. We can’t let that happen. Demand Trump apologize to the Khans

Thanks,
Congressman Keith Ellison

Here is my response.

Keith,

I share your outrage and repulsion at the comments of Donald Trump. He should certainly apologize. However, since you put the issue before me, I have a question for you and other practicing Muslims.

In your private life, do you elevate adherence to any aspect of your religious law (Sharia law) above any aspect of the American Constitution or constitutionally protected laws?

Many immigrants of your faith become American citizens and then, after swearing an oath to the Constitution, immediately begin to practice certain aspects of Sharia law in their local communities and in other cases, attempt to supplant local laws with Sharia laws.

The Muslim faith clearly defines moral and religious law as infallible and superior to laws created by American citizens. Therefore, at its core, strict adherence to the Muslim faith prevents strict adherence the American Constitution. This is the 800 pound gorilla in your room.

The American Constitution only implies separation of Church and State but the 1st Amendment makes it perfectly clear that your faith can be freely practiced in America and Congress can make no law prohibiting it.

This creates an irresolvable paradox that democrats refuse to confront. When this sort of religious freedom is viewed objectively, it becomes obvious that as more Sharia law is practiced, Constitutionally protected freedoms will be eroded.

We can certainly agree that Donald Trump is unfit to serve as President and each time he opens his mouth, he reinforces his mental instability and probable incompetence.

We can also agree that if elected, Donald Trump would be a menace to society and would likely erode 200 year old Constitutionally protected freedoms.

Donald Trump’s comments notwithstanding, a serious and very rational question regarding your faith lurks within Trump’s irrational rants and confused rhetoric.

This question is very simple. Can practicing Muslims who adhere to Sharia Law also be patriotic American citizen? For many non-Muslims, this question remains unanswered.

Sincerely,

Fred Lundgren
Katy, Texas

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Writing As Love Letters To Our Readers

The summer after I turned eighteen, the girl I had fallen in love with six months earlier moved with her family from Providence, RI to Seattle, WA. In 1983, before Skype and text messages and emails, that might as well have been the other side of the planet. I was devastated. I dreamed about her night after night, and spent my muggy, Providence afternoons wondering what exactly the point to life was if circumstance could arbitrarily pluck someone you loved from your world.

I went to college on Long Island while she went to school in Olympia. We started writing long letters. I wanted to feel close to her. I wanted to feel the immediacy of her company as I had known it while talking to her on her couch in her living room or when I’d walked her home after we’d gone to see The Graduate. I already knew I wanted to be a writer. Perhaps I could close that 3,000-mile gap through the power of the written word.

Being a young writer, I was also an impatient writer. I wanted my letters to travel what seemed like the fastest and easiest route between my heart and hers. To do this I would need to feel something immediately and acutely. And so I complained. I complained about how few friends I had, about how flat the stories I was writing seemed to me, about the weather on Long Island. Yet no matter how many adjectives I poured onto the page, no matter how detailed I was in chronicling my misery, I could not find again what lit in me every time she answered my knock on her front door.

Twenty-five years later I found myself writing letters of a different kind. These were called blogs, but they really were love letters to strangers. By this time, that girl and I had found each other again and married and had two boys. Circumstance, I began to understand, could not actually pluck anything of value from my world. I just needed to learn where to look for it.

I wanted the little essays and stories I wrote in my blog to inspire writers, to remind them why the very act of writing was always worthy of their time and attention regardless of rejection letters or the market or advances. I knew how easy it was for writers to bond with one other through complaint. We all dislike rejection, and we’d all like to sell more, and we’d all like the stories to come easier.

But I also knew how it felt to open the door to my imagination and find a story I loved to tell waiting for me. I knew how good it felt to spend time in the company of that story, to hear what it had to say and learn where it wanted to go. I decided to write as a kind of invitation to other writers to join me in a place where the enduring value of having a story we loved to tell was more important than the passing disappointment of rejection letters or sagging sales.

There is a kind of vulnerability and naïveté to optimism; it is not interested in fixing problems. I know how easy it is to see problems all around me, to believe that what I desire most has left my world. What a strange thing for a writer to believe. I can find what I love most while alone at my desk facing a perfectly blank page. There I remember again where to look for what I want, and remember what it feels like to find it, and that the bond of friendship is always love and never fear.

You can learn more about William at williamkenower.com.

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Why The Bachelorette Made the Choice She Did

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Just like many people, one of my guilty pleasures is watching The Bachelorette. Apart from the obvious reasons, with the work I do helping people to become more aware of themselves and to shift their patterns, including in love and relationships, I love to watch how each of the “contestants” show up and how their relationship patterns unfold to dictate their “success” or getting sent home.

For example, one of the most common relationship patterns on JoJo’s season was men who were emotionally-blocked and disconnected from themselves. Don’t get me wrong. These men were good-looking and trying sincerely to open up, but many of them were just shut off from their own feelings.

Examples of patterns from other season’s include Nick’s pattern of always being “second-best” and Ashley I.’s pattern of being super emotional, likely to subconsciously get attention.

So, what does this have to do with JoJo choosing Jordan?

Here’s how I describe it:

We all have relationship patterns from our childhood. Our parents (or our caregiver) show up in a certain way (or don’t show up in a certain way), and we are forever chasing that in our partners. Many times, these patterns are what keep us attracting certain mates and keep us from attracting a partner that can truly love us the way we would choose to be loved if we weren’t intertwined with our childhood patterns.

For JoJo, part of this looks like her being attracted to men where she always feels doubt and fear that they were going to pull away their love and not stick around.

Her focus on this, or trying not to attract this, is what has kept her attracting this type of partner, over and over.

Even when she had guys that were showing up for her fully, guys like Luke and Robby, her heart was drawn to Jordan. Now, first of all, I’m not at all saying Jordan is a bad guy, but JoJo clearly kept questioning that relationship, and her questioning that relationship is good information for her. After all, I don’t know anyone, that if they’re truly being honest with themselves, who wants to spend a lifetime in fear and self-doubt.

Of course, too, as part of JoJo choosing Jordan, there was chemistry, but I would venture to guess that a lot of what made her feel like Jordan was the right one was her comfort in being uncomfortable. We’ve all been in places, where even though something made us feel not so good, we kept going after it because there was something intoxicating about it. As part of this discomfort, my sense is that an old relationship pattern was driving her truth. And, when an inherited pattern (i.e. – something you picked up from your parents) is driving your truth, is that really your truth or is that just inherited truth? In the moment, it sure feels like truth, but unfortunately, it’s at a deeper energetic level that keeps you blocked from being able to see what’s in your highest good for the long term.

So, how do we begin to undo this, especially when it comes to undoing relationship patterns to attract an ideal partner for ourselves, and not just a partner who appears ideal?

1. Be aware.
First and foremost to undoing your relationship patterns is to be aware of what that pattern is. What type of person are you attracting? Maybe they’re unavailable in some way or a narcissist. Whatever it is, noticing the common pattern you keep seeing, is the first start to changing it.

2. Know your why.
After you become aware of the relationship pattern, understanding why you are continually being drawn to this type of person is crucial. A key to this is looking at who in your life showed up this way (or didn’t show up this way) and the initial moment that comes up for you where this person demonstrated this pattern. For instance, if you had an unavailable or abusive parent, notice when you think of the first time this pattern appeared with this parent, what memory shows up.

3. Give yourself a voice.
The third piece to undoing a pattern is giving your inner child the voice it didn’t have when that pattern was initially taken on. In your mind’s eye, put whatever parent comes up when you think of this pattern in front of you and begin to tap into your inner child. What does she/he want to say to this person about what happened? Maybe it’s something as simple as, “It really hurt me when you said that.” and maybe it’s something even deeper. Whatever the case is, keep vocalizing what your little child needs to say until you feel like you’ve said it all. A key point to note here is that you may need to do this exercise with the same person multiple times, as new emotions may surface as you start to bring this to the forefront.

Whatever the case, I wish JoJo and Jordan much love, and hope that her truth was from true choice.

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Immediate Release from Donald J. Trump: I'm Resigning the Nomination

Today I have decided not to run for President. Although I would have made the most marvelous President you wouldn’t believe, Ted Cruz, the Kahn family, and the liberal media have launched such vicious attacks and lies against me that I am forced to devote all my energy to fighting back. And, fight back I must and I will!

In not allowing the attacks to go unanswered, I am fighting for all of you that believe in me and America. Only I can still save America from my new TV network that I am starting immediately. It will be the biggest success you have never seen.

Besides, boring Mike, what’s his name, can do the most marvelous inadequate job better than I can, although I would be great at it.

To all my loyal, patriotic followers, we will Make America Great Again by your watching me watch TV.

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University of Texas Guns

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Functional Sculpture At It's Best With TaoTronics Desk Lamp – Review

TaoTronics Desk Lamp If you’re
going to have to look at something over and over, it should make you
happy to look at, right? So, today we have another product to add to
your sleek, modern technology arsena, the TaoTronics Desk Lamp. Let’s get into the review

Tesla Exec On Competition: You're Not Trying Hard Enough

Tesla should be used to getting called out by other automakers by now—not that it doesn’t dish out its fair share of industry trash talk from time to time. Now it’s Diarmuid O’Connell, a business development executive, who basically called out the entire field of electric vehicle competition for being boring, claiming automakers are “probably really not even trying.”

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US Government May Lift Ban on The Funding of Chimeras

For most of us, chimeras are a common aspect of mythology and the most tragic parts of our favorite anime, but for the science community, they hold both incredible research value and ethical concerns. This is why the US National Institutes of Health (NIH) proposed new guidelines Thursday in dealing with animal-human hybrids.

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