The revelation that Steve Jobs won’t be presenting the keynote at this year’s Apple Worldwide Developers’ Conference on June 8th has created a lot of speculation in the blogosphere, with random financial analysts claiming that this means Apple won’t release an iPhone at the show, and sharp-eyed observers like Jon Gruber disagreeing.
One thing to understand about financial analysts is that they often don’t have any special knowledge – they’re just speculating, like you or I do. And Gruber makes the excellent point that if Apple wants to present new hardware APIs to iPhone developers, they’ll have to show the new iPhone first.
With Apple basically admitting that they aren’t going to launch Snow Leopard at the show (instead providing a “developer preview,”) the show could be extremely anticlimactic without some new hardware being announced.
Speculation that Steve will come back in a gala performance at the end of June also seems a little off-key to me. Apple previously said that Jobs will come back in June, but keynotes are intense, stressful, and very physical experiences. While it would be an amazing show of Steve’s fitness to throw a keynote in late June, his doctors and family might prefer him to ease back into work a little more gently.
I’ll be at WWDC providing live coverage of Schiller’s keynote, and whatever else appears. After all, Steve Jobs still might be the “one more thing” at the show.