From Edison saying that AC electricity was going nowhere to the thousands of journalists claiming that the iPad was going to be a disaster (not me!) the technology world is full of failed predictions. The Week’s Bad Opinion Generator has loads of funny ones, along with other non-tech oriented ones.
It’s tough for humans to predict how well a book will sell until after it’s published—it’s something of a gamble. But now, a new algorithm can tell if a book will be a commercial success or not long before it hits the shelves—with a staggering 84 percent accuracy.
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To many of us, the government shutdown is inexplicable: a crazy situation, brought about a minority faction over a bill that’s already been passed into law. But for math professor Peter Turchin, it was entirely predicable.
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SwiftKey must be keen to finish its bout with Swype, as it just went for the knockout. It’s launching SwiftKey Flow, an extension of its Android keyboard that blends SwiftKey’s familiar word prediction with the hold-and-swipe gestures we most commonly associate with the company’s arch-rival. Speed-minded typists now just have to glide across the virtual keys and let go as soon as Flow makes a correct guess. They don’t have to pick a typing mode and stick with it, either, as both gestures and the usual taps will work at the same time. Prospective testers will want to sign up today for the SwiftKey Flow beta starting in the next few weeks. Everyone else, though, might want to watch from the bleachers — the new parallels between SwiftKey and Swype just made this fight infinitely more entertaining.
Continue reading SwiftKey Flow keyboard takes the fight to Swype with predictive gestures (video)
Filed under: Cellphones, Mobile
SwiftKey Flow keyboard takes the fight to Swype with predictive gestures (video) originally appeared on Engadget on Thu, 25 Oct 2012 09:00:00 EDT. Please see our terms for use of feeds.
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Like something from a school play, Nokia’s Feature Pack 2 for Symbian Belle first bounded onto the stage prematurely, before being ushered back behind the curtain. Now, despite walking out at the proper time, it looks like it’s fluffed its opening lines, and has been taken offline once more. The announcement came via a support discussion on one of Nokia’s forum threads, with some users claiming they were unable to install it at all, or that some functions weren’t working properly — or worse, being unable to turn the handset back on — for those that could. At the moment Nokia simply states that it has been pulled from servers, and it will advise once the update is back online. If you’ve been affected, head to the source for the official thread on the issue.
Filed under: Cellphones, Mobile, Nokia
Nokia Belle Feature Pack 2 pulled again due to reported user issues originally appeared on Engadget on Wed, 03 Oct 2012 07:17:00 EDT. Please see our terms for use of feeds.
Nokia has been tuning up its Symbian Belle phones with new software over the past few days, but there’s been one glaring exception: the 808 PureView. The camera-centered behemoth isn’t far behind, though, as a handful of users have spotted and grabbed a 113.10.1506 OS update lurking on Nokia’s servers before it was abruptly yanked. While Nokia hasn’t confirmed details of the upgrade, those few who tried the download can vouch that it really is Belle FP2, or Belle Refresh. As such, it’s bringing an overhauled keyboard with text prediction, new versions of the browser and music player apps, fresh widgets and no doubt a few under-the-radar bug fixes. It’s hard to know if the update is final code, so we’d advise caution before loading up any unofficial copies you might find — even so, it’s a portentous sign for 808 owners who’d like to have a definitive instance of smartphone-grade Symbian before the platform rides into the sunset.
Filed under: Cellphones, Mobile
Symbian Belle FP2 for Nokia 808 PureView spotted early, pulled quickly originally appeared on Engadget on Fri, 07 Sep 2012 12:58:00 EDT. Please see our terms for use of feeds.
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Ever get the feeling that you’ve seen it all before? University of Connecticut researcher Peter Turchin has, and he (along with Russian partners Sergey Nefedov and Andrey Korotayev) has even crafted an entire scientific theory around the idea. Cliodynamics, as it’s called, works on the view that broad trends of history occur in predictable patterns based on common factors like government strength, population size and social inequality. The surprise to Turchin is that violence outside of wars, at least in the US, triggers roughly every 50 years like clockwork: people rebel against a social crisis, but their children stay out of the fray and lead to the conditions that ultimately trigger another outbreak, like the 1970s civil rights and peace movements. Don’t set your watch to cliodynamics just yet. Many historians are still skeptical, and even supporters note that one-off events or major wars fall through the cracks. If the theory pans out, however, science could be used to help governments do the right thing before they’re made to do it at gunpoint.
[Image credit: Steve Wilson, Flickr]
Filed under: Science
Theory of cliodynamics uses science to predict history, sees violence erupt in cycles originally appeared on Engadget on Thu, 02 Aug 2012 20:55:00 EDT. Please see our terms for use of feeds.
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Nokia gave us a hint of Nokia Drive 3.0’s commuter-friendly additions all the way back at Mobile World Congress in February. It’s been quite the wait, but the update is at last lurking in the Windows Phone Marketplace. Although developed at the same time as Google Now, the Drive update will feel like a small slice of Android 4.1 for Lumia owners through its predictive routing: it can learn when you leave for work and how driving habits will affect the trip, giving a heads-up about traffic jams before you turn the ignition. Windows Phone reasserts itself through the option of pinning favorite destinations as tiles on the home screen, and an automatic switch between day and night modes is just as new. Drive’s My Commute feature will initially work only in the US, but it should be available within the next day or two for any Lumia owner — so those being denied Windows Phone 8 still won’t have any justification for being late to the office.
Filed under: Cellphones, GPS
Nokia Drive 3.0 arrives with My Commute, your Lumia is no excuse for being late (video) originally appeared on Engadget on Fri, 20 Jul 2012 21:25:00 EDT. Please see our terms for use of feeds.
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For those of us who aren’t fans of swipe gestures, the highlight of BlackBerry 10 is undoubtedly a unique keyboard that’s often a step ahead of its user. It’s a good thing for this last camp that RIM was just granted the final version of a related patent for logic-based text prediction. Instead of simply hunting for typos, the patented keyboard guesses the next word based either on the context of the words around it or on other criteria, like common expressions. About the only time the technique doesn’t predict words is for passwords — RIM would rather not be that clever. While there looks to be a few differences in the practical implementation of the patent as we’ve seen it in a pre-release BlackBerry 10, theory and reality are close enough that RIM won’t be worried about anyone else poaching its seemingly mind-reading technology anytime soon.
Update: We’ve dug deeper, and it’s more focused on simple frequency logic and auto-complete shortcuts (think “ttyl” generating “talk to you later”) rather than anything too complex. BlackBerry 10 isn’t so secure, then, although these are still quite important typing techniques.
Filed under: Cellphones
RIM gets patent for logic-based text prediction, BlackBerry 10 keyboard now preserved for the ages (update: not so ambitious) originally appeared on Engadget on Tue, 17 Jul 2012 22:13:00 EDT. Please see our terms for use of feeds.
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Even with a fancy A5 processor or who-knows-how-many-core Snapdragon chip, smart phones sometimes can’t quite keep up and apps take far longer to load than we’d really like. A team of engineers, however, is building software that predicts the future in order to speed things up. More »
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