Up until this week, state Sen. Deb Fischer (R) seemed headed to a decisive victory against former Sen. Bob Kerrey (D) in the race for the open U.S. Senate seatin Nebraska. Fischer has led by double-digits in the few public polls conducted in the state, and neither national party committee has spent any money on the race. However, three new polls released this week suggest that Kerrey has moved to within striking distance of the lead.
Two independent polls from Wiese Research Associates and Pharos Research Group, and an internal poll for Kerrey’s campaign, found him within five points of Fischer. Meanwhile, Fischer’s campaign responded with an internal poll showing the candidate ahead by a comfortable 16-point margin.
In races like that in Nebraska, with five or fewer polls released in the last three weeks, the HuffPost Pollster rating is based on the consensus of three respected election handicappers: the Cook Political Report, the Rothenberg Political Report and Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Since only four polls have been released in the last three weeks and the handicappers still see Fischer as the clear favorite, this race is still rated as “strong Republican.”
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